|IN THIS ISSUE:
2005 CITRUS CROP FORECAST
2005 Citrus Crop Forecast-
The news that everybody involved in any way in the citrus industry has been awaiting is now official-you can see all the data at the following website:
The Florida early and mid forecast, including navels, is estimated at 92 million boxes, and Valencias at 84 million-totaling 176 million boxes. Essentially that's about 27-28 percent below last season's 242 million boxes.
The Florida grapefruit crop is forecast at 15 million boxes, which includes 4 million boxes of whites and 11 million boxes of pink/reds. The total is only about 37 percent of last season; whites are at about 25 percent of last season, and pink/reds are at about 44 percent of last season.
In addition, grapefruit sizes are expected to be smaller. The size distribution of pink/red grapefruit is estimated at 17.7 percent size 40 and larger, 35.7 percent size 48 and 56, and 46.6 percent size 63 and smaller. By contrast, the percentages last season were 23.2, 39.2 and 37.6, respectively. In other words, about half of the 11 million boxes of colored grapefruit will be too small for fresh market channels. A similar trend is expected for white grapefruit-about 25 percent size 40 and larger (34.5 percent last season), 36 percent size 48 and 56 (34.9 percent last season) and 39 percent size 63 and smaller (30.6 percent last season).
Texas production is forecast at 70,125 tons of early and mids, including
navels, 5,312 tons of Valencias and 118,000 tons of grapefruit. In terms
used by the Texas Valley Citrus Committee, that's 3,300 carlot equivalents
of early and mids, including navels, 500 carlot equivalents of Valencias
and 11,800 carlot equivalents of grapefruit. In essence, earlies are
up about 16 percent, Valencias up about 9 percent and grapefruit is up
about 3.5 percent from last season.
JULIAN W. SAULS, Ph.D.
| Valley Citrus Notes Index | Aggie Horticulture |